Public transport and flood disruptions in cities

Public Transport and Flood Disruptions in Developing Countries’ Cities

Applications: Case studies developed in Kinshasa, DRC, and Kigali Rwanda

Data requirement: Global data + public transport datasets (to be purchased in addition)

Final deliverables: A slide deck (or report) that combines flood maps, public transport network feeds (GTFS data), and socio-economic data to assess changes in public transport functionality, loss of accessibility to jobs and services, and the most critical links in the transport network. It also attaches an economic cost to travel delays caused by floods.

Geographic scope: City-level

Hazards covered: Floods

Indicative Cost / working time: $15k - 25k, ~1 month

Methodology peer-reviewed, cleared (date)?: Yes, peer-reviewed methodology published in the journal Transportation Research part D in 2023

Time Required for delivery: 1 -2 months (depending on other commitments)

Combining and processing flood maps, public transport network feeds (GTFS data), and socio-economic data, this methodology can assess the change in functionality of the public transport services (including informal), the loss of accessibility to jobs and services, identify the most critical links in the public transport network and attach an economic cost to the travel delays caused by floods.

Additional Resources

Paper

Transportation networks underpin socioeconomic development by enabling the movement of goods and people. However, little is known about how flooding disrupts transportation systems in urban areas in developing country cities, despite these natural disasters occurring frequently. This study documents the channels through which regular flooding in Kinshasa, the Democratic Republic of Congo, impacts transport services, commuters' ability to reach their jobs, and the associated economic opportunity costs from travel delays. This assessment is based on transit feed specification data sets collected specifically for this analysis under normal and flooded conditions. These data sets were combined with travel survey data containing travelers' socioeconomic attributes and trip parameters, as well as a high-resolution flood maps. The results show that (1) flood disruptions cause increases in public transit headways and transit re-routing, decreases in travel speeds, and thus travel time delays, which translate into substantial economic costs to local commuters; (2) accessibility to jobs decreases under flooded conditions, hindering the establishment of an integrated citywide labor market; (3) there are spatial clusters where some of the poorest commuters experience among the highest travel delays, highlighting socio-spatial equity aspects of floods; (4) certain road segments are critical for the transport network and should be prioritized for resilience measures; and (5) the estimated daily cost of flood disruption to commuters’ trips in Kinshasa is $1,166,000. The findings of this assessment provide disaster mitigation guidance to the Office des Voiries et Drainage under the Ministry of Infrastructure, as well as strategic investment recommendations to the Ministry of Housing and Planning.

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Blog

A rainy commute is unpleasant for most. But in many cities across Africa, a rainy season brings more than mere inconvenience. Especially where drainage and sewage systems are inadequate, rainfall can quickly result in flooded streets. Pedestrians are forced to take off shoes to trudge through murky waters.

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Contacts
Paolo Avner
Senior Urban Economist
Jun Rentschler
Senior Economist
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